What Can We Do? A Conservative Electoral Strategy

30th November, 2015


A long-term Malcolm Turnbull Prime Ministership would be very dangerous for Australia, and could destroy the last remnants of conservatism and classical liberalism that exist in the Liberal Party. As a nominal Liberal, popular with the media, and with greater managerial competence than Labor, Turnbull has a dangerously excessive ability to drive forward the leftist-‘progressive’ agenda, an ability the Labor Party could only dream of.

As Turnbull moves further to the left, taking ignorant, rusted-on Liberals with him, Labor will move even further to their left, creating the perception of choice, but eliminating conservatism and classical liberalism from the “Overton Window“, the range of socially acceptable choice.

As many have said, when you change the Prime Minister, you can change the country, and Turnbull need not pass any legislation to achieve this. The pulpit of the Prime Ministership provides potent possibility for propaganda, and hence the cultural change necessary for future legislative monstrosities.

All possible steps must be taken to avoid the aforementioned scenario. Although dedicated conservatives are not in great abundance, we can use both our vote, and our campaigning abilities, with tremendous efficacy.

1. How to Use Your Own Vote

A) THE SENATE

Ideally, you should avoid a party-based “above-the-line” vote in the Senate, and instead number all the boxes in the following order:

  1. All the dedicated conservative Liberal Senators/candidates.
  2. All the dedicated conservative National Senators/candidates.
  3. All the conservative minor party Senators/candidates.
  4. All the other Liberal-National Senators/candidates.
  5. Everyone else.

This system allows you to exert maximal positive effect.

The reason you shouldn’t give the Liberal Party an above-the-line [1] vote, is because your vote may go towards electing a leftist-‘progressive’ Turnbull-supporter within the Liberal Party.

The reason you (ideally) shouldn’t give a conservative minor party an above-the-line [1] vote is because you may be electing a conservative minor party Senator at the cost of a dedicated conservative Liberal Party Senator. That would be a net negative, because you would lose that conservative influence in the party room of the governing party, which is absolutely crucial.

Who are the reliably conservative Liberals in the Senate?

I’ll provide the sitting Liberal Senators I have confidence in. There may be other decent ones, but I don’t know enough about them to be confident.

  • VIC: N/A
  • QLD: Joanna Lindgren
  • SA: Cory Bernardi, David Fawcett
  • WA: Mathias Cormann, Chris Back
  • TAS: Eric Abetz, Stephen Parry, David Bushby
  • ACT: Zed Seselja
  • NSW: Concetta Fierravanti-Wells (*Update: Now open to question considering her actions)

B) THE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES

Although minor parties are unlikely to win many seats in the House of Representatives, and usually have no influence, it is still useful to give reputable conservative minor parties (eg. Rise Up Australia, Australian Liberty Alliance, Family First etc) your first preference. Remember, every first preference vote attracts a certain number of dollars from the taxpayer, and better they go to a principled party, than to the Turnbull-led Liberal Party.

Eliminating left-faction leaders in the Liberal Party

In the normal course of events, you should give the Liberal Party your second preference, below a reputable conservative minor party, but if you’re in a seat with a notorious and influential leftist-‘progressive’ Liberal, who uses their party room influence to push the party to the left, you should put them LAST in your preference list, below Labor.

You need not be squeamish about this. Replacing an influential Liberal leftist-‘progressive’ with a Labor leftist-‘progressive’ is a net gain for conservatives because ‘progressives’ lose influence in the Liberal party room.

I would apply this strategy to several people:

  • Malcolm Turnbull (Wentworth, NSW)
  • Julie Bishop (Curtin, WA)
  • Christopher Pyne (Sturt, SA)
  • Trent Zimmerman (North Sydney, NSW) – Photios Faction
  • Jason Falinski (Mackellar, NSW) – Photios Faction
  • Paul Fletcher (Bradfield, NSW) – Photios Faction
  • Craig Laundy (Reid, NSW) – Photios Faction
  • Russell Matheson (Macarthur, NSW) – Photios Faction
  • Fiona Scott (Lindsay, NSW) – Photios Faction
  • Susan Ley (Farrer, NSW) – Photios Faction
  • John Alexander (Bennelong, NSW) – Photios Faction
  • David Coleman (Banks, NSW) – Photios Faction
  • Perhaps a few others

2. How to Campaign

Not only should you cast an effective vote for yourself but, more importantly, you should campaign and convince other people to vote the same way. You can do this via the internet (i.e. blogs, comment sections, social media, emailing), calling talk-back radio, talking to people you know (i.e. friends, family, work colleagues), writing letters to newspapers etc. This allows you to have a greater effect on the election outcome than is provided by your own solitary vote.

A cross-party conservative how-to-vote card

Ideally, you would campaign for other people to vote as i’ve specified above, but given you aren’t campaigning for one particular party, this could be extremely difficult and confusing. Below-the-line voting in the Senate is a relatively arduous task, but for those conservatives willing to do it, but unsure how to number the boxes, a conservative how-to-vote card, specifying the perfect order of preference, may be a viable solution. The card could be put online before the election, and perhaps even handed out at polling booths.

Targeting Turnbull in his seat

The best case scenario in the House of Representatives would be to have the Liberal-National coalition to win a majority, but have Turnbull lose his seat of Wentworth.

There is a clear and recent precedent for unseating a sitting Prime Minister, and that is the case of John Howard and his seat of Bennelong in 2007.

Clearly it is very difficult, but not impossible.

Toppling Turnbull in Wentworth would require a localised campaign, within the bounds of the electorate. Voters would have to be encouraged to put Turnbull last in their preference list.

Given Turnbull will be forced to take aboard some conservative policies (at least temporarily), he may well be vulnerable on the left, particularly in a Bollinger Bolshevik-laden seat like Wentworth. In 2004, when he was pretending to be a conservative, Turnbull nearly lost the seat for the Liberals.

Campaigning for a reputable conservative minor party

In terms of general campaigning, it is best to support a conservative minor party.

Voting for a minor party in Australia is not a wasted vote, like it can be in the United States and Britain. We have a preferential system of voting (as opposed to “first-past-the-post”) that ensures your vote can be transferred to the major party candidate of your choice if your first preference doesn’t win.

That said, it is crucial you don’t promote untested minor parties. We saw the budget repair gridlock that resulted from the repulsive populism of the Palmer United Party, and we don’t want a repeat of that. You need a party serious about cutting spending and reliably conservative on social issues, with a demonstrated ability to work constructively with government.

3. Medium & Long-Term Strategy

The task of greatest importance is not defeating Labor, but purifying the Liberal Party. Elections will naturally oscillate between Labor and Liberal, and it is only if we have a Liberal Party truly dedicated to repealing Labor legislation, and taking Australia in the opposite direction, that conservatism and classical liberalism have a chance.

Currently we have a Liberal Party that is going in the same philosophical direction as Labor, just at a slower pace. We MUST NOT accept that state of affairs. If we do, it spells the end of the Australia we have known and loved.

Eliminating ‘progressives’ and unprincipled careerists from the Liberal Partyand replacing them with principled MPs, who will fight hard for the philosophy, is the principal task of any conservative or classical liberal in Australia. How can this be done? It boils down to getting involved in Liberal pre-selections, infiltrating the organisational party (concealing your conservatism if you must), smashing up the oligarchy in the various state and federal executives, and mastering the entire electoral system.

You shouldn’t underestimate the difficulty of the task. The enemy is dedicated and ruthless. Only a long and relentless struggle will defeat them. Our ancestors were willing to do that. They made the necessary sacrifices to create and defend Australia. Now it’s your turn.

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